Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.259516 0.302362 0.349747 0.405991 0.470891 0.543386 0.630470
2025-04-13 0.180699 0.235668 0.303208 0.392096 0.505801 0.646172 0.832418
2025-04-20 0.144535 0.204405 0.283718 0.396046 0.550577 0.755190 1.046140
2025-04-27 0.126091 0.190460 0.281095 0.417287 0.615903 0.894010 1.311843
2025-05-04 0.110190 0.176305 0.274481 0.429780 0.667981 1.017952 1.569168
2025-05-11 0.095954 0.161744 0.264239 0.434047 0.706549 1.124494 1.811030
2025-05-18 0.083278 0.147307 0.251573 0.431818 0.733301 1.214191 2.034936
2025-05-25 0.072276 0.133757 0.238107 0.425797 0.752063 1.291752 2.246026
2025-06-01 0.063647 0.122900 0.227449 0.422608 0.774264 1.375950 2.475343
2025-06-08 0.054809 0.110275 0.211882 0.408448 0.775069 1.422995 2.644595
2025-06-15 0.052645 0.109866 0.218236 0.434631 0.850720 1.607347 3.073779
2025-06-22 0.045853 0.099375 0.204275 0.420672 0.849972 1.653739 3.256030
2025-06-29 0.039754 0.089535 0.190564 0.405970 0.847028 1.697482 3.441613
2025-07-06 0.034630 0.081006 0.178406 0.392908 0.845910 1.744852 3.640065
2025-07-13 0.031723 0.076870 0.174758 0.396907 0.879670 1.863413 3.990865
2025-07-20 0.030542 0.076461 0.178990 0.418194 0.951855 2.066065 4.532431
2025-07-27 0.028768 0.074389 0.179262 0.430714 1.006434 2.237573 5.025886
2025-08-03 0.026591 0.071006 0.176097 0.434990 1.043127 2.374648 5.459070
2025-08-10 0.024235 0.066811 0.170471 0.432756 1.064612 2.480549 5.833942
2025-08-17 0.021916 0.062354 0.163628 0.426723 1.076473 2.566086 6.171405
2025-08-24 0.020001 0.058679 0.158228 0.423527 1.094628 2.667376 6.554291
2025-08-31 0.017749 0.053723 0.148934 0.409337 1.084286 2.701648 6.784201
2025-09-07 0.017581 0.054632 0.155010 0.435575 1.177731 2.989474 7.643944